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Lahore Real Estate Forum: Property News & Community Talk : ,

(75807)
Wednesday, November 21, 2012 11:09 AM 

Is it better to keep 2 lacs USD in a foreign curency account in Pakistan or buy plots in DHA Phase 5 M block and/or DHA Phase 7 P block?

After say 3-5 years will the plots value appreciation offset the currency depreciation differential?

Insights/advise requested. Thanks.

Observer replied on Wednesday, November 21, 2012 12:08 PM 

(You asked for insights, right? Without being too specific here are few insights which might give you & others in the same boat, some hint to decide.)

Recent as well as distant history tells us that over the medium to long run growth in Pakistani property has always significantly outperformed realized or unrealized gains from keeping your capital in Forex vs PKR, with very few and very short term exceptions like in the year ~2008. Historically due to inflation it has always proven worst strategy by far to keep your hard earned savings in Cash or Cash derivatives based on any Forex paired with PKR. There is a lot of potential & resilience in Pakistani Black & White economy, and Pakistani real estate is still extremely under priced.

More people and more money will always be divided by the same quantity of land. That means more people per constant piece of land and/or more money per constant piece of land. The land wins because YOU CANNOT GROW LAND ON TREES (CAPS here for emphasis, not for scream). You can print more money and you can dig more gold, produce more barrels of oil or seek alternative energy sources, can add more exciting IPOs, derivatives; BUT the supply of land is limited with ever growing demand for both domiciliary, agricultural needs and more.

That said it is best to utilize your savings and available funds (after keeping aside some necessary funds for emergent needs) to setup a small industry/orchard, or do some other useful business related to your skills/expertise where you are quite confident of success & least dependent on other breathing creatures (zi roohs, including people). Some dependence on machines is fine though. If you are unable to do that very few choices are left. Property in Pakistan (and other countries where the most significant contribution of the nation in the real GDP is the production of babies) has always been and will likely always be more yielding and more profitable than most other investment instruments available, just based on dwindling supply and rising demand.

BTW: In property investment always keep a significant portion in choices which can be very liquid, so that whenever you feel a need for cash you can liquidate without too much effort, within days, and not weeks or months. Wherever and whenever possible, always prepare, prefer and prioritize to utilize your funds for something productive. Do not play the Zero Sum games. Do something useful for yourself (first) and for others too by creating Win Win situations.

Food for thought: The water which is flowing is fresh and sweet. It nurtures life and prosperity. The water which stops or gets blocked starts to smell and creates diseases (both physical and spiritual).

Better keep the wealth flowing.

Basit replied on Wednesday, November 21, 2012 01:31 PM 

If you compare the prices of DHA plots and $ value in the past two years. You will find Phase 7 prices are nearly doubled (100%). $ has appreciated from 83 to only 96 16%)

Phase 7 has potential to rise further on and after the possession. P block has great future due it's location on main boulevard.

rana replied on Wednesday, November 21, 2012 01:41 PM 

While the observer has talked about the time horizon of medium to long run for investment in real estate, emphasis should also be given to existence of a bubble when you start this investment. For example, Lahore property values have not quite risen to the 2005 levels even after passing of 7 years. Or if you invested in Tokyo in 1989, you would not quite recover your initial investment today after a lapse of 23 years, or Dubai, or …. As the observer mentioned, Lahore property right now seems to be underpriced, therefore I agree that there is good reason to expect that it will retain value for all the factors that were listed.

CMY replied on Thursday, November 22, 2012 07:08 AM 

DHA Phase 7 P block will be my choice. It can still double in 3 years time from current price due to its best located DHA 7 block and LSE being close to it etc.


Choudry Mujahid Yasin ( CMY )
info@lrepk.com

Ejaz Ahmad replied on Thursday, November 22, 2012 08:35 AM 

I believe that appreciation in DHA, Lahore developing phases will more than offset depreciation in Pakistani Rupee in the long run(say 5 to 10 years)

Basit replied on Thursday, November 22, 2012 03:21 PM 

Dear CMY sab,

Thank you for your valuable comments. Do you agree that P block has the more potential of price appreciation as compared to R block ? Please advise on this.

Moreover, what is your opinion about future of Y block which will have direct access through Badian Road.

CMY replied on Thursday, November 22, 2012 06:39 PM 

In long run P will be priced higher than R. Currently R is more sought after. I am fan of both from day one after ballot and almost all my clients bought and hold plots in P or R and you can see now they are the most happier now :)

Choudry Mujahid Yasin ( CMY )
info@lrepk.com

Basit replied on Thursday, November 22, 2012 07:56 PM 

Thank you Choudry Mujahid sab. I purchased in P block for a longer run and your opinion supports my decision.

I have more question and that is regarding 10 marla plots in new cutting of T,U & Y blocks. How do expects them after two years?
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