DHA Multan analysis
Dear CMY,
Following is my humble viewpoint about
DHA Multan, I have different opinion than you for short term. I hope you will review and reply to my expectations regarding DHA Multan.
DH multan will be a huge success in long term as u recommend also. However u have recommended not to buy DHA multan file above 40lac. Here I differ with u n reasons are:
Allocation numbers issued by DHA around one month ago were like 3800 to 3900. Let us suppose that this number total increases uoto 4500 till general public launch. This means total area will be around 2250 acres. Let it be assumed 2500 acres which is 20000 kanals. As a rule of thumb 50% land will be consumed in development for roads, parks, schools ettc. So remaining is 10000 kanals. Out of 10000 kanals, 5000 kanals will be alloted against
files already in market. Remaining 5000 kanal will be distributed among army quota, 1 A and 10 marla general public. Which means quantity of plots offered for public will be very less and onky lucky ones will get the plot in general public balloting.
Now comes the pricing issue. DHA multan will be offered to general public at price around 60 lacs, my pereception is it will be 63 lac and then 17 lac develpment charges. So total price of 1k will be 80 lacs in 3 years installment. My guess is price of DHA Multan file will further increase and will settle around 48-50 lac. It can momentarily go above 50 but realistic price is 48 -50. After public launch which is expected after eid we may see a short term dip in file price as public interest will be applying for ibstallment plots. However after balloting fir successfull applicants we will see tezi in market again. As very less people will be successfull in ballot we will see own money on installment plots and file will follow the trend. I see a price of 57 - 60 lacs in oct- niv this year. We will see further ruse again when balloting for plit numbers will be done. After that it will steadily move upward as per development work progress and market direction.
This is my very lay man analysis as im not a property guru, but it would be nice if you can highlight shortcomings in my analysis.
Regards,
Abdullah